What Is Biden's Path to Victory?

In modern presidential politics, the frontrunner is usually one of the candidates who does really well in the early states, and that will not change this year. Since Joe Biden's entrance into the 2020 field, he has gotten national attention as one of the frontrunners. But since then, one thing after another has happened to harm Biden's chances of winning the nomination. First, his fundraising was weak, and he couldn’t reach progressives. Next, his weakening support in the polls caused uprisings for people like Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, and Pete Buttigieg. Finally, these uprisings started to chip away at his standings in the early states like Iowa and New Hampshire, causing him to come up with a desperation strategy for the weak: South Carolina. That won't be enough for Biden to win the nomination. Today I'll talk about two strategies that will improve Biden's mediocre and boring campaign strategy.

The first strategy for Biden to win in the nomination is called the "Underdog Plan": win both South Carolina and Nevada. This strategy is best for Biden if he doesn't believe he’s going to win the first two states, and it allows him to invest in states he can win. The logic behind this strategy is that Iowa and New Hampshire are going to be a free-for-all, and the delegates will be divided evenly. This would cause the party to become desperate for a nominee, and if Biden were to win Nevada and South Carolina, he could become the "frontrunner," and he would be able to get donors and staff to catch up in the Super Tuesday states. That would allow him to win smaller states and collect more delegates overall. That would prevent the Biden campaign from wasting energy in one or two big states, which would still only get them a fraction of the delegates. Candidates will do anything to become the heavy favorite to take on Biden one on one, and if they attack each other, they could let Biden carry many states before the end of March. Once April begins, the nomination could come down to Biden and another candidate from the list of weakened candidates. This gives Biden the advantage because his opponent wouldn’t have had time to pull together a big enough coalition of voters, which they might have done if they hadn’t wasted time going state by state and not looking at the long road ahead. Overall, Biden's dark-horse strategy would work because it focuses on victory at the convention rather than victories in any particular state.

Joe Biden’s next strategy for is called "The Jackpot." It involves Biden crushing his opponents everywhere. “The Jackpot” strategy involves Biden winning in Iowa and immediately becoming the favorite. He would then be paraded in grand style, resulting in a solid second-place finish in New Hampshire. Those two strong performances would allow Biden to become the frontrunner for the nomination, and he would then easily win in South Carolina and Nevada. This would result in a Biden sweep of the South, and then he would carry California and some of the Midwest. He would then be far ahead in delegates, and that would help him accumulate other wins while splitting other states. After that, Biden would need to act like the frontrunner and make sure that scandal doesn't sink him or that he doesn’t stop working hard.

Whichever strategy Biden uses, he needs to work very hard to win because he has stiff competition. Biden also has many weaknesses that are causing some damage to his chances, but I think he’ll be able to pull through. I believe that he’ll be the frontrunner because he’s someone people can imagine as a good president. He’s experienced and his actions speak louder than his opponents’ words.